Nifty Intraday Trade Setup: 9:15 AM to 11:55 AM (October 30, 2025)

Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only, based on current market analysis as of pre-open. Trading involves risk; use your own judgment, risk only 1-2% of capital per trade, and consult a financial advisor. Markets can be volatile due to FOMC aftermath and monthly expiry today—expect gaps and quick reversals. Nifty closed at ~26,054 yesterday; Gift Nifty indicates a gap-down open near 25,960-25,980.

Opening Bias: Mildly positive but cautious. Gap-down likely from global cues (Fed rate cut already priced in, but sell-off in US/Asia). Key no-trade zone: 25,920-25,960. Breakout above 25,960 for upside momentum; breakdown below 25,920 for downside.

• Expected Range (Morning Session): 25,800-26,080. Focus on first 5-min candle (9:15-9:20 AM) for breakout signals. Trade only 9:15-11:55 AM to avoid lunch-hour choppiness.
• Volatility Note: High premiums on calls due to expiry—decay accelerates post-11 AM. Use November ITM options for liquidity.

Intraday Spot/Futures Trade Strategy (Safe Momentum Breakout)

Use a 5-min chart with 200 SMA for trend filter. Enter only on first-candle breakout aligned with SMA (above for long, below for short). Ideal for high-volatility open.

• Long Setup (Bullish Bias if Above 25,960):
  • Entry: Break above first 5-min candle high (~25,980-26,000) post-9:15 AM.
  • Target: 26,000 (T1, +40 pts) → 26,080 (T2, +80 pts). Partial exit at T1.
  • Stop Loss: 25,920 (below first candle low or pivot) or 10-15 pts below entry for tight risk (risk-reward 1:2).
  • Rationale: Sustained above pivot signals recovery to yesterday's high. Trail SL to entry after +30 pts.