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Bank Nifty Options Analysis & Sureshot Call Recommendations for October 23, 2025

Bank Nifty closed marginally lower at 58,007.20 on October 22, 2025, down 0.04% after hitting resistance near multi-month highs around 58,200-58,300. The index is trading in a tight range amid global cues like US-India trade deal buzz and domestic earnings season, with implied volatility (IV) around 10% for ATM strikes (based on recent data). The nearest weekly expiry is October 28, 2025, making theta decay a key factor for option buyers—focus on momentum plays with tight stops.



Overall Sentiment: Mildly bullish but cautious. A close above 58,000 could trigger upside, while sub-57,800 signals pullback. PCR at ATM (58,000 strike) is ~0.60, indicating mild call writing but building OI in higher strikes suggests upside potential.

Bullish Breakout Call (Primary Recommendation):

  • Buy: 58,000 CE (Oct 28 expiry) if Bank Nifty sustains above 58,000.
  • Entry: ~₹380-₹420 (based on Oct 20 close; check live LTP).
  • Target: ₹550-₹600 (if index hits 58,300).
  • Stop Loss: ₹300 (or index <57,900).
  • Rationale: Break above resistance aligns with positional longs; 61% volume in upside TPO range (57,975-58,250). Expected profit: 40-50% on quick move.
  • Range-Bound Straddle Alternative (If Choppy Open):
    • Buy: 58,000 CE + 58,000 PE combo.
    • Entry: Total premium ~₹800-₹900.
    • Target: ₹1,200 (on 200-point move either way).
    • Stop Loss: ₹600 total.
    • Rationale: Low IV favors premium expansion on volatility spike; suitable if no clear direction pre-open.
  • OI Insight: Max pain shifting higher (~58,000); call OI unwind below spot supports mild upside bias.

Risks & Tips👈

  • Theta Burn: With 5 days to expiry, avoid holding OTM calls overnight unless momentum strong.
  • Global Watch: US futures up 0.5%; positive for open, but FII flows key.
  • No-Loss Hedge: Pair calls with far OTM puts for iron condor if risk-averse.

For live updates, check NSE option chain or YouTube analyses (e.g., expiry predictions). Trade at your own risk—use these for educational purposes only. If you meant a specific group/channel, share more details!

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